This train of thought began boarding the station as a result of an aside in the commentariat discussion of one of Paul Kedrosky's blog posts.
Although the market for such insurance is relatively illiquid, the price suggests the market believes the US government is more likely to default on its obligations than some other industrialised countries. “The USA is now ‘riskier’ than Norway, Germany, Netherlands, Sweden, Finland, Austria, France, Denmark, Quebec and Japan,” said Tim Backshall, chief strategist at Credit Derivatives Research.
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"Andrew": I was surprised to see Quebec on the list of "other industrialised countries." I must have forgotten about Quebec's breaking away from Canada. Je me souviens? Apparently not.
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"Bassfisher": It's about default and the cost of insurance, not defederation. Even if Que left the dominion of canada, they are able to pay their way. Quebec arranged its own credit rating with canada's blessing, same as my wife has her own a/cs.
If Quebec separated, I'm genuinely curious how well they would be able to service their debt issues once they no longer received Government of Canada largess and Provincial transfer payments, not to mention using a currency of their own devising and not the Loonie. Arranging their own credit rating while still being underwritten by the Canadian Government is a whole other kettle of fish from maintaining their rating while being economically independent, whether self-sufficient or otherwise.
If I'm off base, or completely ignorant, feel free to enlighten me.
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